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Deterministic vs Probabilistic Choice in Dowsing

Determinism: the law of cause and effect

Determinism rests on the law of cause and effect: if cause A occurs, effect B follows, reliably and reproducibly.

• If I place my hand in a flame, I get burned.
• If I heat pure water to 100 °C at sea level, it boils (note: altitude, pressure and impurities change the boiling point).

Within this frame, the link between cause and consequence is certain.

Probability: working with uncertainty

Probabilistic reasoning does not claim certainty; it expresses a degree of uncertainty. Evidence, data and clues can raise or lower the likelihood of a result without guaranteeing it.

• A forecast of 70% precipitation means rain is more likely than not, but not certain.
• A clinician may estimate an 80% chance of response to a therapy—there remains 20% uncertainty.

Dowsing and probabilistic logic

In dowsing (radiesthesia), we do not speak of absolute truths but of degrees of probability regarding an event or the relevance of an option.

Estimated probability will be higher or lower depending on:

• the quality and amount of concrete facts collected (observable data, history, context),
• the reliability of sources of information,
• the coherence across multiple indicators,
• the practitioner’s method and experience,
• and the time-bound context (what is true “here and now” may not be true later).

Good practice includes keeping records and comparing estimates with outcomes to improve calibration over time.

Dowsing is not magic: a concrete decision aid

Dowsing is not a magical practice that rests on nothing. It begins with identifying concrete elements that are already available, then using them as a base for exploration.

Example: If I have a sore throat, a pharmacy may suggest several remedies appropriate for throat symptoms. Among these options, dowsing can help me prioritise the one that shows the highest estimated probability of relieving my sore throat—here and now, for me personally. This estimate can be expressed as a 0–100% likelihood of effectiveness.

Dowsing does not replace informed judgement or professional advice; it complements them as a decision-support tool to refine the choice most suited to the present context.

Philosophical perspective: Spinoza and Pascal

Spinoza’s determinism describes a world governed by necessary chains of causes. Pascal’s wager highlights acting under uncertainty—assigning and living with probabilities. Dowsing aligns with the latter: it seeks an enlightened, probabilistic estimation rather than mechanical certainty.

Responsible use — important notice

Dowsing is not a substitute for professional medical, legal or financial advice. Do not discontinue prescribed treatments without consulting a qualified professional. Use dowsing as a complementary, personal decision-support practice.